We can understand the range of possible outcomes by looking at the following density plot, which summarizes the 200,000 sessions:Įven without odds, the two bets still can range within a much as a hundred dollars after 10 shooters. If there’s a chance that players can bust, the results will be slightly different.

I assume a $10 table 1 and use a $100K bankroll to ensure that busting won’t be an issue.

Pass line bet with 345x odds (depending on the point, as is commonly done)Įach strategy ran for 200,000 sessions, with 10 shooters used per session (this is a common way that people budget their betting, and it is easier to count shooters than to count rolls).

I changed the odds multipliers since I was curious in lower odds tables and adjusted the number of sessions, testing the following strategies: Eric had done a similar experiment to this as a baseline, which forms the basis of these results. Don’t pass bets have an advantage in Phase 2, and so casinos will let you take the bet down at any point.įirst, I wanted to get a sense of the difference between the dark side and light side strategies. Because of this, you can’t take a pass line bet down in Phase 2. Pass line bets have a 2 to 1 advantage of winning in Phase 1 but are at a disadvantage in Phase 2. The pass line and don’t pass bets have a reasonably small house edge of 1.41% and 1.36% per bet made. However, odds bets can be added in Phase 2 (up to a table maximum), which pay the true odds for a respective bet:īecause the odds bets pay even money, they don’t carry any house edge. The wins and losses are all for even money.

Don’t pass wins on a 7 loses when the point is rolled.

Pass line wins when the point number is rolled loses on a 7.

any other number (4, 5, 6, 8, 9, 10) sets the point.Don’t pass wins on 2, 3 loses on 7, 11 and pushes on 12.Pass line wins on 7, 11 loses on 2, 3, 12.Both the pass line (which I’ve done a detailed analysis on here) and don’t pass bets are two-stage bets that are foundational to the game of Craps.

Craps experts-feel free to skip this section, I’m going to describe the key strategies used in this post to make sure everyone is on the same page.

Aggressive craps betting chart